Eventually, losses do matter.
I'm not referring to bad losses, per say. Those losses have always mattered. I'm referring more to the quantity of losses a team has.
When evaluating a team's resume, it's easy get to get caught up in the metrics, quality wins, the criteria that matters to the committee. But eventually, the amount of red on a team's sheet does start to accumulate.
Take the cases of Oklahoma State and West Virginia. Both teams have won road games against tourney competition, have good metrics, and most everything you look for in a resume. However, one set of numbers is beginning to stand out: 16-13. That's the record of both teams currently.
The number of losses has slowly crept up for the average tournament team. A team with 15 losses first made it in 2017, and ever since a team with that many has made every (non-COVID impacted) tournament. However, every team that has done so has done it after making some noise in their conference tournament. The math does not look great for either team, and it's likely one (or both) will get squeezed out for losing too many games. Because, eventually, losses do matter.
As always, please check out http://www.bracketmatrix.com/ for more.
South
1 Alabama (1) Birmingham, AL
16 Howard (67)/Fairleigh Dickinson (68)
8 Providence (30)
9 NC State (35)
5 Xavier (17)
12 Kent St (50)
4 Indiana (13) Albany, NY
13 Bradley (52)
6 Creighton (21)
11 West Virginia (45)/Wisconsin (46)
3 Gonzaga (11) Des Moines, IA
14 UC-Irvine (57)
7 Maryland (25)
10 Auburn (39)
2 Baylor (7) Denver, CO
15 Colgate (59)
Midwest
1 Kansas (2) Des Moines, IA
16 UNC-Asheville (64)
8 Missouri (32)
9 Rutgers (33)
5 Miami (FL) (20)
12 Liberty (49)
4 UConn (14) Albany, NY
13 VCU (51)
6 TCU (22)
11 Memphis (42)
3 Tennessee (9) Greensboro, NC
14 Eastern Washington (58)
7 Arkansas (27)
10 Boise St (40)
2 Arizona (8) Sacramento, CA
15 Vermont (61)
West
1 Houston (3) Birmingham, AL
16 Texas A&M – CC (63)
8 Texas A&M (31)
9 Iowa (34)
5 San Diego St (19)
12 Oral Roberts (47)
4 Iowa St (15) Orlando, FL
13 Utah Valley (54)
6 Illinois (24)
11 USC (41)
3 Kansas St (10) Columbus, OH
14 Yale (55)
7 Kentucky (28)
10 Nevada (38)
2 UCLA (6) Sacramento, CA
15 Youngstown St (62)
East
1 Purdue (4) Columbus, OH
16 Morehead St (65)/Alcorn St (66)
8 Duke (29)
9 Florida Atlantic (36)
5 Virginia (18)
12 Charleston (48)
4 St Mary’s (16) Orlando, FL
13 Southern Miss (53)
6 Northwestern (23)
11 Mississippi St (43)/Oklahoma St (44)
3 Marquette (12) Greensboro, NC
14 Iona (56)
7 Michigan St (26)
10 Pittsburgh (37)
2 Texas (5) Denver, CO
15 Samford (60)
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